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Hurricanes rarely reach California. How did Tropical Storm Kay do it?

04/11/2022

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Tracks of all known tropical storms and hurricanes in the Eastern Pacific Basin since The arrow points to California. W​hy Do So Few Make It To California. Hurricanes — rotating storms with sustained winds 74 mph and over — typically. It’s incredibly rare for a hurricane to reach California. A California hurricane is a tropical cyclone that affects the state of California. Usually, only the remnants of tropical cyclones affect California.
 
 

Hurricane california

 

A historic heat wave brought a punishing 10 days with record-shattering high temperatures. The Mosquito Fire in Placer and El Dorado counties created a huge plume of smoke visible from 60 miles away.

Atmospheric rivers produce torrential downpours and can cause widespread, damaging floods. Tropical Storm Kay, recategorized on Thursday from a hurricane, has been edging along the Baja California peninsula since Wednesday and creeping toward Southern California. Remnants of moisture could mean some precipitation in Northern California, with a slight chance the conditions could produce dry thunderstorms.

Conditions along the coast typically protect us from hurricanes. But these defenses can falter and open the door to a tropical storm touching down in California. This is why the storms form over tropical waters that are at least 80 degrees or higher. Waters along the California coast are comparatively cold, chilled by winds that churn up frigid water from below. In Southern California, the Pacific Ocean usually only gets up to around 65 to 70 degrees.

Facebook Twitter Show more sharing options Share Close extra sharing options. Tropical Storm Kay, showed hovering over the region Saturday, never made landfall in California but brought notable wind and rain.

By Hayley Smith Staff Writer. California Evacuation ordered ahead of possible mud, debris flows in San Bernardino County. Hayley Smith. Subscribers Are Reading. February Archived PDF from the original on 20 January Retrieved 22 January Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. American Meteorological Society. Archived PDF from the original on Visher June Monthly Weather Review. Retrieved 16 January USA Today. Los Angeles Times. Archived from the original on August 27, Retrieved August 28, Archived from the original GIF on October 18, Tropical Cyclone Rainfall Data.

United States Weather Prediction Center. Retrieved November 26, Hydrometeorological Prediction Center. National Climatic Data Center. Archived from the original on July 8, Retrieved April 20, Stewart Lopez CBS News. Archived from the original on 5 August Retrieved 16 April Cal for second day”. The San Diego Union-Tribune. Archived from the original on 4 October Retrieved 3 October September 6, Extreme atmospheric river storms, for example, are projected to become more common in California as the planet continues to warm, emerging research finds.

In , this rise caused big problems. By the end of the century, relative sea level could rise 2 feet compared to But failing to curb future greenhouse gas emissions could raise this number to between 3. While there is uncertainty with these projections, reducing emissions and limiting warming could rein in future flooding impacts.

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Hurricane california

 

The most wind-prone areas have clocked wind gusts above 80 mph in the mountains of San Diego County. Trees and power lines were downed in some areas. Cuyamaca Peak saw a wind gust of mph. Kay brought gusty conditions with lowered visibilities to San Diego. Latest Updated Hurricane Season Outlook. This story does not necessarily represent the position of our parent company, IBM. Daily 9 Today. Hurricane Central. By weather. At a Glance Kay curved offshore and never made landfall in California.

Kay brought mudslides and flooding to parts of the Interstate 8 corridor. Of course, Southern Californians don’t generally think too much about hurricanes.

We worry about earthquakes But it seems as though every year or so, we get some rain from a tropical cyclone in Southern California. Which begs the question: could a hurricane ever strike here? Patzert: The interesting thing is that it really can’t happen, statistically speaking. The odds are infinitesimal — so small that everyone should just relax.

Like 1 in 1, Of course, there’s always a chance. But there’s a good reason why we don’t name our West Coast sports teams the Hurricanes, but we do have the Rancho Cucamonga Quakes. Seriously, as eastern Pacific hurricanes move northwest and weaken, what we have had are many instances where they dumped a lot of rainfall in Southern California. That’s what happened with two monster storms in and , both El Nino years. And there have been plenty of other examples.

When Southern California does get affected by tropical systems, September is by far the most common month. Patzert: There are two main factors that work against hurricanes here: cool waters off the coast and the direction of the upper-level winds.

Tropical cyclones draw their fuel, so to speak, from heat stored in the upper ocean. Typically, ocean surface waters greater than 80 degrees Fahrenheit 27 degrees Celsius are required to form and fuel these great storms. During the Northern Hemisphere summer and fall, the upper layers of the tropical oceans down to approximately feet depth are steadily heated. By September, when hurricane season hits its peak, these waters reach their maximum temperatures, becoming, in a sense, high-octane fuel for hurricanes.

But water temperatures never get that high in the coastal waters north of central Baja California. On rare occasions, they may reach about 75 degrees Fahrenheit 24 degrees Celsius near the shore in Southern California, typically during an El Nino episode. But generally speaking, low 60s is about as warm as they get farther from shore and elsewhere in coastal California. The cool-water California Current, which sweeps down the West Coast of the United States, really acts as hurricane repellant, protecting California and even Northern Baja California from hurricanes.

The other factor at play here is the upper-level winds, which tend to carry and steer storms to the west and northwest, away from California, and also tend to shear the tops off of hurricanes, breaking them apart. Between the upper and lower-level winds, there’s a lot of wind shear off the coast here in Southern California. These prevailing northwesterly winds also push warmer surface waters offshore, drawing cooler waters up to the surface, and this further adds to the cool nature of the nearby ocean waters that would weaken any storms that did approach California.

But is there a “Perfect Storm” scenario that would allow a tropical cyclone to have a major impact on Southern California? Patzert: The best odds for a tropical cyclone to affect Southern California are during a “Godzilla” El Nino event, when the waters off the coast are warmest, like we had in when waters were in the low to mid 70s.

Or when we’re in the positive phase of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation PDO , a long-term pattern of change in the Pacific Ocean that alternates between cool and warm periods about every five to 20 years. We’re currently in the early stages of a cool phase of the PDO, which tends to dampen the effects of El Ninos. Waters in the eastern Pacific generate more hurricanes during El Nino years. In addition, the upper-level winds would have to steer an unusually strong storm our way.

That almost happened with Hurricane Linda in , which briefly threatened Southern California before turning away to sea. But even if Linda had made landfall in California, it wouldn’t have been a big wind event. It would have been more like an “atmospheric river” event, common in wintertime, with heavy rainfall and flooding. And storm surge, which is a big concern along the U. Gulf and East coasts, is really a negligible issue along most of the California coast, because much of it sits atop bluffs, above sea level.

Patzert: This hurricane season has been moderately active in the eastern Pacific and slightly busier than normal in the Atlantic, but there have been very few big storms.

 
 

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Tropical Weather Outlook PM HST Sat Oct 8 ; There are no tropical cyclones in the Central North Pacific at this time. Tropical Storm Kay, which briefly reached hurricane status on. Remnants of Hurricane Kay — the storm is currently about miles southwest of Mexico’s Baja California — are forecast to bring substantial.

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